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Ethiopia

Medium intensity · Localised internal wars · Federal forces vs regional armed groups · Reviewed 23 Aug 2026

Conflict map

Approximate theatre focus. Not a control-line map.

Current status

Medium intensity after the Tigray war: fighting and insecurity continue in Amhara and other regions. Politics remain fragile; access for journalists and aid workers is uneven. Desk watches for any return to nationwide mobilisation.

Key parties

  • Ethiopian National Defence Force and federal security
  • Fano and other Amhara armed actors
  • Regional and residual armed groups elsewhere

Selected timeline

2020–22
Tigray war
Nov 2022
Pretoria cessation of hostilities
2023–24
Amhara conflict intensifies
2025
Localised fighting and political strain
2026
Medium intensity; multiple regional files
IntensityDesk assessment: Medium — serious but not nationwide front lines
AccessReporting gaps are common; treat single-source atrocity claims cautiously
HumanitarianIDP and food-insecurity needs remain large per UN Ethiopia appeals
Developing

Amhara / regional clash reports

Local and diaspora channels report intermittent fighting. Desk requires geography and second-source checks.

OSINT / local

Confirmed

Post-Tigray insecurity persists

International reporting confirms continued armed conflict and political fragility beyond the formal end of the Tigray war.

Wire / UN